Met Office Chief Meteorologist, Frank Saunders said: “Following on from the heavy rain that some of us have seen on Friday, Saturday and Sunday, the new working week begins with rain across a large swathe of England and Wales.  The area with the higher likelihood of impactful rain is now covered by an Amber warning, stretching from Gloucester across the Midlands to the Wash and the Humber.

“It’s likely that some parts of this area will be worse affected than others – it all depends on where, and if, the weather system responsible for the heavy rain stalls and pivots. However, within this warning period - which encompasses two rush hours – some localities will probably see between 50 and 80 mm of rain, while there’s the possibility that a few could experience in excess of 100mm of rain. Where this happens, this brings the potential for travel disruption and localised flooding.”

A Yellow rain warning – encompassing most of England and Wales, except the most westerly and northerly regions - surrounds the Amber warning. Impacts within the Yellow area are assessed as a little less likely but they could still include travel disruption and flooding.

Further ahead

David Oliver is a Deputy Chief Meteorologist. He said: “Tuesday’s weather will be quieter across England and Wales, although further north heavy showers could affect parts of Scotland. Through Wednesday and Thursday, unsettled weather is set to return as frontal systems move in from the Atlantic, bringing showers or longer spells of rain to many parts of the UK.”

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