Whilst Monday sees a grey and murky day in parts of the east and some rain in the west, conditions will turn decidedly more unsettled overnight into Tuesday as an active frontal system moves in from the southwest.  

This system will push an area of heavy rain east and northeast through the day on Tuesday, with the heaviest rain expected over parts of southern Wales and southern England as well as eastern Scotland.  

Met Office Chief Meteorologist Steven Ramsdale said: “Rain will affect much of the UK during the early part of this week, with a weather front on Tuesday bringing heavy rain and strong winds at times.  

“Rain on Tuesday is likely to bring some impacts to travel and some possible flooding in places. Parts of southern Wales, southern England and eastern Scotland are likely to see the heaviest and most persistent rain, with over 30mm of rain in some places and some exposed parts of eastern Scotland potentially seeing 50mm. It will be a wet day for many however with 10-20mm of rain falling across much of England, Wales and Scotland.” 

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Low pressure to come 

Showers are expected on Wednesday as part of an unsettled day. Showers will be most prevalent on southern and western coasts, before low-pressure and a more persistent spell of rain arrives from the west on Wednesday evening.  

Met Office Deputy Chief Meteorologist Helen Caughey said: “Wednesday will start off generally drier for many, albeit with some showery interludes especially around coastal areas in the south and west. While there are some differences in timing, there’s a good degree of confidence that low-pressure will move in from the west on Wednesday evening and track northeast through Thursday, clearing the far northeast early on Friday, signalling a return to wetter and windier conditions more widely. 

“This low pressure will bring some heavy rain at times late on Wednesday, with that risk spreading further north on Thursday. High winds are also expected for most, with some coastal gales possible. The strongest winds are most likely in the far northeast of Scotland and the Northern Isles on Thursday, with gusts in excess of 60mph possible.” 

In addition, temperatures will drop through this week back towards average for the time of year, although with the strong winds and rain, this will feel much cooler than the unseasonably mild conditions seen in recent days. 

Further ahead 

Saturday could provide a brief respite from the winds and rain for a time, before another front moves in from the west, bringing further wet and windy weather.  

Helen Caughey continued: “Although timings are generally more uncertain at this range, there’s good model agreement of a continuation of a cyclonic westerly regime from later on Saturday, through the remainder of the weekend, into early next week, with periods of wet and windy weather, especially in the west and northwest.”  

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